基于流变模型的陆相页岩油储层地应力预测方法

In-situ stress prediction methods for continental shale oil reservoirs based on rheological models

  • 摘要: 陆相页岩油储层通常具有强非均质性、高黏土含量及复杂构造背景,这使得传统地应力预测方法存在显著偏差。依赖实测数据标定的参数难以表征储层空间非均质性,而基于弹性本构关系的模型往往忽略黏土流变性(如应力松弛、蠕变)对地应力的影响。为提升陆相页岩油储层地应力场刻画精度,以支撑高效开发决策,建立了基于流变本构驱动的地应力预测新方法。利用YPD叠前反演方法直接反演弹性参数,减少模量转换过程中的链式误差;将总有机碳(TOC)含量作为超压机制判断标准,分段构建改进Eaton法预测孔隙压力;推导多层薄板弯曲理论,利用弹性参数与构造曲率预测局部构造应变。强化对储层非均质性与构造差异的表征;利用Maxwell等流变模型反映岩石在长期载荷作用下产生的蠕变、应力松弛现象,推导了表征岩石流变行为的黏弹性本构方程,建立基于流变模型的地应力预测方法;整合地震数据与地质力学模型,形成陆相页岩油地应力流变预测工作流程。在渤海湾盆地陆相页岩油区块的应用表明,该方法预测的地应力大小相对误差小于6%,较传统方法精度显著提升。研究提出的流变本构模型有效量化了流变行为对应力的影响,解决了传统弹性模型的理论局限,形成了高精度、强适应性的地应力预测方法,为陆相页岩油储层水平井优化设计与压裂施工提供了可靠的理论支撑。

     

    Abstract: Continental shale oil reservoirs typically exhibit strong heterogeneity, high clay content, and complex structural configurations, which result in significant deviations in conventional in-situ stress prediction methods. Parameters calibrated based on measured data struggle to represent reservoir spatial heterogeneity, and models based on elastic constitutive relationships often neglect the impact of clay rheology (e.g., stress relaxation and creep) on in-situ stress. To improve the accuracy of in-situ stress field characterization in continental shale oilreservoirs and support efficient development decision-making, a new in-situ stress prediction method driven by rheological constitutive behavior was established. The YPD pre-stack inversion method was used to directly invert elastic parameters, reducing chain errors in modulus conversion. Total organic carbon (TOC) content was employed as a criterion for overpressure mechanisms, and a segmented modified Eaton's method was applied to predict pore pressure. A multilayer thin-plate bending theory was derived, and elastic parameters and structural curvature were utilized to predict local structural strain, thereby strengthening the characterization of reservoir heterogeneity and structural differences. Rheological models such as Maxwell model were used to represent creep and stress relaxation phenomena of rock under long-term loading, and a viscoelastic constitutive equation characterizing rock rheological behavior was derived, establishing an in-situ stress prediction method based on the rheological model. By integrating seismic data with geomechanical models, a workflow for rheology-based in-situ stress prediction in continental shale oil reservoirs was established. Application in continental shale oil blocks of the Bohai Bay Basin demonstrates that the predicted in-situ stress magnitude exhibits a relative error of less than 6%, demonstrating a marked improvement in accuracy over conventional methods. The proposed rheological constitutive model effectively quantifies the impact of rheological behavior on stress, overcomes the theoretical limitations of traditional elastic models, and establishes a high-precision, highly adaptable in-situ stress prediction method, thereby providing reliable theoretical support for the optimized design of horizontal wells and fracturing operations in continental shale oil reservoirs.

     

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